Deutsche Bank analysts warn that stronger US growth, rising inflation, and increased interest rates under President-elect Donald Trump could lead to significant rate volatility. This shift may disrupt the current supportive credit environment and negatively impact returns, indicating a departure from the previous financial stability. The political landscape following Trump's election introduces a broader range of potential outcomes for financial markets.
A potential clash between JD Vance and Elon Musk is anticipated, with significant implications for the stock market and the future of American technology. Vance opposes big tech and advocates for decentralization, while Musk supports a technopolitical merger with government, reflecting a broader ideological battle in the post-Trump era. The outcome could reshape the dominance of tech giants and influence equity markets, particularly the Nasdaq.
Swiss banks are gearing up for the implementation of "Basel III Final" by January 1, 2025, which will significantly alter credit pricing and capital requirements. The output floor will increase capital needs for top-rated residential mortgages, potentially raising costs by 20 basis points for prime loans. This regulatory shift necessitates strategic adjustments in pricing and risk management for banks to remain competitive in the evolving credit market.
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